The “well respected centers of excellence” is a propaganda ploy to sell preordained narratives and predetermined outcomes to sell what the medical complex want through an anointed propagandist. How ironic.
Finance is another field where GIGO modeling runs rampant. Tho there it is easy for experienced observers to detect the garbage. Anyone sincerely trying to produce a useful model will spend a great deal of effort on describing the inputs and assumptions, and why they are likely to be conservative. Then they explain why the model’s methodology is appropriate and what its shortcomings are. They will describe the model’s past record of predictive accuracy. Ferguson and other fear-peddling pandemic modelers did none of this.
Inside academia everyone knows that simulations can be shaped to suit desired ends. That's WHY researchers use modeling instead of real-life experience and experiments. The only goal is getting the grant and getting the promotion. Real physical nature doesn't obey commands, so it's not a reliable way to get tenure.
Everyone around Ferguson knew what was going on, and used the models to get their grants and promotions and achieve their evil goals. I doubt that anyone in the chain of command was naive enough to think the models represented reality.
Ferguson was a useful tool, he has no ethics therefore no morals. He didn't care about what was right or wrong all he had to do was produce the goods that would benefit others who had skin in the pandemic game. He knew he was producing a model based on lies but it demonstrated that there was a deadly pandemic on the loose and that was all that was needed for the planners of the pandemic to move forward. Science is filled with creatures like Ferguson.
Does anybody know what happened to Mike Hearn? He was publishing articles on Medium in 2020 and advised Steve Baker MP about the inadequacies of the Ferguson model. Then he disappeared from public view.
On 6 September 2020 John Ioannidis, who I believe was the most cited medical scientist in history at the time, posted a video on YouTube in which he said (referring to lockdowns) "We cannot destroy our lives, democracy, privacy, our world, for something like that [virus]". That video was deleted by YouTube, presumably for heresy against the Narrative. In that or another memorable plea to the world by video, he concluded "Lockdowns destroy everything". But then what would he know?
This guy has been getting it wrong for decades, thousands of lines of code, doing nothing.
"In 2005, Ferguson said that up to 200 million people could be killed from bird flu........In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009."
"It has been claimed by experts such as Michael Thrusfield, professor of veterinary epidemiology at Edinburgh University, that Ferguson’s modelling on foot and mouth was ‘severely flawed’ and made a ‘serious error’"
I think it's worth pointing out that, in general terms, Neil Ferguson's model results and in particular the prediction of an entirely "overwhelmed" NHS are essentially independent of NF's model. The model took its input data on infection, hospitalisation and mortality rates from another paper by Verity et al (Ref 12 in NF's "Report 9"). Given those data, any mathematical analysis, ranging from simple arithmetic through SEIR to NF's agent-based model makes much the same predictions. They might differ between themselves by what seems a large factor - maybe 2 or so - but that would have made no effective difference to predictions of demand for e.g. critical care facilities being ~30x those available and the subsequent policy decisions. While NF's work has taken a lot of criticism, I don't think I recall Verity et al's paper being similarly treated (TBH, I can't remember it being mentioned at all).
I think that, if one is interested in understanding how the covid policy catastrophe developed, Verity's paper may be a good place to look. (Incidentally, NF is also among the authors on the Verity paper - although his name is last on a list of ~thirty names, in contrast to Report 9 where he heads the list).
I suppose one might conclude that epidemiology is useful and beneficial, but that is entirely contingent on those epidemiological teams/departments having financial ( cf Gates' largesse to Imperial College) and political independence.
Epidemiology is just another branch of medical science which has been corrupted by external influences/ers, ditto climate science - meteorology.
The “well respected centers of excellence” is a propaganda ploy to sell preordained narratives and predetermined outcomes to sell what the medical complex want through an anointed propagandist. How ironic.
Finance is another field where GIGO modeling runs rampant. Tho there it is easy for experienced observers to detect the garbage. Anyone sincerely trying to produce a useful model will spend a great deal of effort on describing the inputs and assumptions, and why they are likely to be conservative. Then they explain why the model’s methodology is appropriate and what its shortcomings are. They will describe the model’s past record of predictive accuracy. Ferguson and other fear-peddling pandemic modelers did none of this.
Inside academia everyone knows that simulations can be shaped to suit desired ends. That's WHY researchers use modeling instead of real-life experience and experiments. The only goal is getting the grant and getting the promotion. Real physical nature doesn't obey commands, so it's not a reliable way to get tenure.
Everyone around Ferguson knew what was going on, and used the models to get their grants and promotions and achieve their evil goals. I doubt that anyone in the chain of command was naive enough to think the models represented reality.
Wasn’t the Gates Foundation(s) prime funders of Ferguson et al?
Ferguson was a useful tool, he has no ethics therefore no morals. He didn't care about what was right or wrong all he had to do was produce the goods that would benefit others who had skin in the pandemic game. He knew he was producing a model based on lies but it demonstrated that there was a deadly pandemic on the loose and that was all that was needed for the planners of the pandemic to move forward. Science is filled with creatures like Ferguson.
Does anybody know what happened to Mike Hearn? He was publishing articles on Medium in 2020 and advised Steve Baker MP about the inadequacies of the Ferguson model. Then he disappeared from public view.
.
Dear Creator,
I Currently Reside On A Planet
Where Medical Doctors Have Become
Pharma Field Niggers.
I Know That You And I Have Had Our Differences.
But They Must Have Really Pissed You Off.
.
On 6 September 2020 John Ioannidis, who I believe was the most cited medical scientist in history at the time, posted a video on YouTube in which he said (referring to lockdowns) "We cannot destroy our lives, democracy, privacy, our world, for something like that [virus]". That video was deleted by YouTube, presumably for heresy against the Narrative. In that or another memorable plea to the world by video, he concluded "Lockdowns destroy everything". But then what would he know?
This guy has been getting it wrong for decades, thousands of lines of code, doing nothing.
"In 2005, Ferguson said that up to 200 million people could be killed from bird flu........In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009."
"It has been claimed by experts such as Michael Thrusfield, professor of veterinary epidemiology at Edinburgh University, that Ferguson’s modelling on foot and mouth was ‘severely flawed’ and made a ‘serious error’"
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/six-questions-that-neil-ferguson-should-be-asked/
I think it's worth pointing out that, in general terms, Neil Ferguson's model results and in particular the prediction of an entirely "overwhelmed" NHS are essentially independent of NF's model. The model took its input data on infection, hospitalisation and mortality rates from another paper by Verity et al (Ref 12 in NF's "Report 9"). Given those data, any mathematical analysis, ranging from simple arithmetic through SEIR to NF's agent-based model makes much the same predictions. They might differ between themselves by what seems a large factor - maybe 2 or so - but that would have made no effective difference to predictions of demand for e.g. critical care facilities being ~30x those available and the subsequent policy decisions. While NF's work has taken a lot of criticism, I don't think I recall Verity et al's paper being similarly treated (TBH, I can't remember it being mentioned at all).
I think that, if one is interested in understanding how the covid policy catastrophe developed, Verity's paper may be a good place to look. (Incidentally, NF is also among the authors on the Verity paper - although his name is last on a list of ~thirty names, in contrast to Report 9 where he heads the list).
"In March 2019, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation granted Ferguson’s employer, Imperial College London, an eye-watering $79million"
Can't remember where I got this but may explain a lot
I suppose one might conclude that epidemiology is useful and beneficial, but that is entirely contingent on those epidemiological teams/departments having financial ( cf Gates' largesse to Imperial College) and political independence.
Epidemiology is just another branch of medical science which has been corrupted by external influences/ers, ditto climate science - meteorology.